全球外资流动趋势、前景与中国金融业的对策

The Trends and Prospects of Global Foreign Investment Flow and the Strategies of China's Financial Sector

金融危机后全球外国直接投资(FDI)大幅受挫,多轮震荡后于2013年回升至危机前水平。对比危机前后,全球FDI流动呈现五大特点:流量回升且冲击小,竞争加剧且区域差距缩小,发达国家低位反弹且差距扩大,发展中国家总量上升但比重微降,区域引资能力分化。发达国家、发展中国家及新兴经济体经济复苏和发展的不平衡,引资形式多样,流向分散和政策多变不仅影响危机后这些特点的形成,也影响到今后全球FDI的流动。中国金融业应增强引资国际竞争力,加强多渠道区域合作,提高对国际资本的监测和管控水平,均衡合理地融入全球经济,增强国际竞争力和国际化综合经营实力。

After the financial crisis, the global FD! suffered a lot and managed to boost up at the pre-crisis level in 2013. Compared with the pre-crisis status, the global FDI flow shows five characteristics that the quantity is rebounding but not vio- lent; the competition is more fierce and regional gap is decreasing; the quantity of developed countries is rebounding from a low level and the disparity between the countries is increasing; the total quantity of developing countries rises but its ratio fall slight- ly; regional ability to attract investment becomes differentiated. The imbalance in the economic recovery and development of de- veloped countries, developing countries and emerging economies, the various forms to attract investment, the flow dispersion and the varied policy influence not only the formation of the above characteristics, but also the future global FDI.movement. China＇s financial sector needs to strengthen its own international competitiveness to attract investment and regional cooperation in multiple channels, improve the level of international capital monitoring and control, be rationally integrated into the global economy, enhance international competitiveness and the ability of international and comprehensive operation.