基于绝对收入假说的四川省农村居民收入与消费关系研究

The Relationship between Income and Consumption of Countryside Inhabitants in Sichuan Province Based on Absolute Income Hypothesis

四川省农村居民收入与消费之间存在稳定的均衡关系,人均纯收入对人均消费支出具有正向影响,人均消费支出的长期收入弹性为0.85,短期收入弹性为0.87。纯收入增长是促进人均消费增长的Granger原因。扩大农村消费,关键在于提高农村居民收入。要建立农村居民增收的长效机制,提高农村居民收入水平,稳定收入预期,提升农村居民消费能力。

There is a stable balanced relationship between income and consumption of countryside inhabitants in Sichuan province.The per capita net income has a positive influence on the per capita consumption expenditure.Long-term and short-term and income elasticity of per capita consumption expenditure is 0.85 and is 0.87.Net income growth is a Granger cause of per capita consumption growth.The key to expand countryside inhabitants is to raise income of countryside inhabitants,to build long-standing mechanism of raising their income to raise the income level of average inhabitants,to stabilize income expectations and promote consumption capability of countryside inhabitants.