中国投资非洲的贸易效应研究——基于2003-2012年面板数据的实证分析

A Research on the Trade Effects of Chinese Investment in Africa——An Empirical Analysis of 2003-2012 Panel Data

近年来,中国对非洲直接投资呈现快速发展态势,并且投资规模不断扩大,投资区域分布广泛,投资主体多元化,投资方式多样化。通过借鉴引力模型,采用2003-2012年中国对非洲39个国家的对外直接投资统计数据,引用面板数据(Panel Data)变系数模型,研究结果表明,中国对非洲国家的投资促进了中非经贸发展。

China＇s foreign direct investment is closely linked to the foreign trade; however, we are not clear about the relationship between direct investment and trade relations in Africa. Based on the study on the relations of foreign direct and the effect on trade, this thesis looks at the current situation of Chinese investment in Africa from different aspects and examines the 39 African countries as China＇s direct investment statistics from 2003 to 2012. The study, applying the Panel Data Model of varying coefficients, reveals that China＇s investment in Afi＇ican countries enhances the further development of trade between China and Africa.