低碳视角下环境规制对经济增长影响的实证分析

Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Environmental Regulation on Economic Growth Viewed from the Perspective of Low Carbon

温室气体的减排存在市场失灵,需要政府环境规制弥补其缺陷,在低碳视角下探索环境规制对经济增长的影响具有重要意义。基于我国1995—2011年29个省市的面板数据,测算历年各省的碳排放量,以碳排放强度为环境规制的代理变量,实证分析环境规制对经济增长的影响,结果显示,碳排放强度每降低一单位,即环境规制强度每增加一单位,人均GDP将增加11.65%,即加强环境规制可以促进经济增长。

Since there are market failures in the emission reduction of greenhouse gases,the government is expected to remedy the defects by means of environmental regulation. It is therefore of great significance to explore the influence of environmental regulation on economic growth from the perspective of low carbon.Based on the panel data of 29 provinces and cities gained from 1995 to 2011,the research calculates the historical carbon emissions in each region,and uses the carbon intensity as the proxy variable of environmental regulation to analyze its influence on economic growth. The result shows that with one unit of reduction in carbon intensity,there will be one unit of increase in intensity of environmental regulation,an11.65% rise in the per capita GDP. It means that strengthening environmental regulation can promote economic growth.