摘要
本文构建动态可计算一般均衡模型来定量研究国际石油价格上涨对我国经济的影响。研究结果表明,国际石油价格上升对我国实际GDP、投资、居民收入和进出口额等主要经济指标均有不利影响;技术进步是抵消国际油价上升的重要工具。最后,本文根据实证结果提出了一些政策建议。
A Computable General Equilibrium （CGE） model is constructed to quantitatively evaluate the effect of price shocks in international crude oil market on the Chinese economy. The main results are summarized as follows： international oil price rising has negative impact on tha main economic indicators of China, such as real GDP, investment, residents＇ ineome, imports and exports. And technical progress is key tool to offset international oil price rising. Based on the simulation results, we put forward some poliey proposals.
出处
《统计研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第8期46-51,共6页
Statistical Research
