凯恩斯主义为何救不了日本经济?

Why Does Not Keynesian Save Japanese Economy?

日本经济已经停滞了20多年。问题的症结是日本经济长期处于不均衡状态,国内需求不足。如果日本经济是充分就业的,实行凯恩斯的刺激需求政策将会增加国民收入。然而日本的需求问题是日本固有的文化理念问题,凯恩斯主义要在开放、均衡、稳定的条件下提高生产效率,以促进充分就业,这对日本来说是很难做到的。在日本,由于经济没有达到充分就业,因此,凯恩斯主义的政策方式无法发挥作用,最终的结果还是使日本经济重复年复一年的停滞。日本政府推出的提高生产效率、科技创新、价格—工资调整、扩大或减少公共开支等政策措施,不仅没有使日本经济向好,有时还变得更加糟糕。

Japanese economy has stalled for 20 years due to the long-term imbalance of economy and the lack of domestic demand. If Japanese economy could provide full employment, the Keynesian incentive demand policy would increase national income. However, the demanding problems are inherent in Japanese culture. In an open, balanced and stable condition, Keynesianism could increase productivity and promote full employment, which is a difficult problem for Japan. In Japan, full employment can not be achieved because of poor economy. Keynesian policies can not play an active role in Japanese economy. Japanese economy still continues to stagnate year after year. The policies such as improving production efficiency, technological innovation, price-wage adjustment, expanding public expenditure and reducing public spending can not lead to the better development of Japanese economy. On the contrary, they make Japanese economy from bad to worse.