基于流动性约束和物流仓储条件的农户粮食销售行为研究

Study on Farmers' Grain-selling Behaviors Based on Liquidity Constraint and Logistics Warehousing Conditions

基于最大化农户粮食销售利润的目标,建立粮食销售决策计量模型,从理论上推导了流动性约束和物流仓储条件对农户粮食销售行为的影响。以玉米为例,根据四个省640个农户的数据调查分析,表明农户的玉米销售时间受到拥有较好的玉米储存的设备条件影响,会有比较晚的最后一次销售玉米的时间,比较少的春节前和元旦前销售玉米时机。相反,农户提前玉米销售行为受到流动性约束的影响。

In this paper, with maximal sales profit as the objective, we built the farmers’grain-selling decision-making and econometric model, then deducted theoretically the influence of the liquidity constraint and logistics and warehousing conditions on the grain-selling behaviors of the farmers, and at the end, had an empirical analysis on the 640 corn-growing farmers from four provinces.