摘要
2013年,中国禽肉市场在"速生鸡"和H7N9流感的冲击下,陷入低迷。2014年上半年形势依然持续低迷,5月市场开始转暖。禽肉生产受消费需求拉动,目前消费需求疲软,产业产能过剩,市场供给正在缩减,预计未来5年随着收入的增加和城镇化的发展,消费仍有增长空间,带动生产扩张。由于受到饲料、能源、劳动力等成本攀升的影响,预计禽肉价格将较长时期维持高位。
China＇s poultry market was in the doldrums in 2013, which was hit by the avian influenza epidemic （H7N9） and revelations of pharmaceutical abuse on chicken farms, i.e. fast growing chicken. The depression lasted to the first half of 2014, and the market has been seen bright since May. Poultry production was driven by demand, but the demand was weak currently. Due to over-capacity, market supply was decreasing accordingly. It was expected that with the rising incomes and urbanization development, there was still much space in the growth of consumption for the next five years, which would drive the expansion of production. Influenced by the rising costs of feed, energy, labor, etc., poultry prices will remain high in a long period.
出处
《农业展望》
2014年第7期23-27,共5页
Agricultural Outlook
基金
农业部项目"农业信息预警研究"
关键词
禽肉
市场
价格
消费
进口
出口
展望
poultry
market
price
consumption
import
export
outlook
