摘要
2000年以来,随着中国工业化和城市化进程加速,铜资源消费迅猛增加。2013年,中国铜消费量983万t,占全球消费总量的47%,对外依存度高达69%。本文采用中国地质科学院创建的人均铜资源消费"S"形规律预测模型,对未来中国铜资源需求进行了初步研究。研究表明:需求峰值期铜资源需求量将达到1400万~1600万t,电力仍是最大需求部门。
Since 2000,as China＇s industrialization and urbanization process accelerated,copper resource consumption increases rapidly. In 2013,9. 83 million tons of copper is consumed in China, accounting for 47% of global consumption,external dependency is as high as 69%. According to the copper resources per capita consumption law of ＂S＂ shape prediction model created by the Chinese academy of geological sciences,China^s copper resources for the future demand has been studied. The results show：peak demand will reach 1400-1400 tons of copper resources,and electric power sector is still the biggest demand.
出处
《中国矿业》
北大核心
2014年第9期5-8,共4页
China Mining Magazine
基金
中国地质调查局地质调查工作项目"我国矿业形势动态跟踪及竞争力研究"资助(编号:1212011120347)
中国地质调查局地质调查工作项目"中国战略性矿产安全评价与支持系统建设"资助(编号:12120114052901)
关键词
铜资源
需求预测
消费结构
部门需求
copper resource
demand prediction
consumption structure
sector demand
