基于泰尔指数法的金砖国家和七国集团地区碳生产率差异研究

Research on Difference of Carbon Productivity in BRICS Nations and Group of Seven Based on the Method of the Theil Index

利用泰尔指数法,采用世界银行公布的相关数据分析1992—2009年金砖国家和七国集团地区碳生产率差异,包括整体碳生产率总差异,金砖国家、七国集团各自的碳生产率差异,并对这些差异的原因进行简单分析;最后进一步分析了两个国际组织的区间差异和区内差异对总差异的贡献率。最后得出结论:经济发展水平对一个国家的碳生产率影响很大,中国只有加快发展经济,尽快完成本国的工业化和城镇化进程,并积极调整自己的产业结构,才可能在碳生产率方面赶上发达国家的水平;经济水平和碳生产率两方面问题并不冲突,两者可以同步发展。最后对中国经济的发展提出几点建议。

Abstract： Based on the method of the Theil index, this paper analyzes the difference of carbon productivity in BRICS Na- tions and Group of Seven by using the data of the World Bank from 1992 to 2009. Research of this paper includes the total difference of carbon productivity in the twelve countries, the difference of carbon productivity in BRICS Nations and Group of Seven, and the paper analyzes the reasons of these differences. In the end, this paper analyzes the interval difference in the two international organizations and their owns to the total difference. Through the analysis, there are main conclusions as follows ： economic development level has a great influence on a country＇s carbon productivity ; only by speeding up the development of economy, completing the country＇s industrialization and urbanization process in China, and adjusting the industrial structure actively, can china catch up with the carbon productivity levels of the developed countries; the economic level does not conflict with carbon productivity problem, and both can be developed synchronously. Finally, the paper puts forward a few suggestions to China＇s development of economy.