具有不确定性的溯因推理

Abductive Reasoning with Uncertainty

溯因推理描述的是发现假说和规则的过程,这些假说和规则依据相应条件能推出已给定的结论。另外,溯因推理还关涉主观概率逻辑,它可以对某一特定假说能否推断出相应结论的可能性进行评估。较于纯粹的概率方法,它对于未知因素的把握在命题判断领域具有重要意义。基于或然性的溯因推理通常应用于很多学科,尤其在医疗诊断中,与条件概率相结合的医疗测试结果经常用来确定某种疾病产生的可能性。

Abductive reasoning describes the process of discovery hypotheses and rules, which are based on these corresponding conditions to launch the given conclusion. Additionally, abductive reasoning is also concerned with subjective probability logic;it can infer whether a particular hypothesis to assess the likelihood about the corresponding conclusions. Compared with the purely probabilistic methods, it has important significance in the part of determining proposition about unknown factors. Based contingent of abductive reasoning is usually used in many disciplines, such as in medical diagnostics ; the conditional probability of medical test results is often used to determine the likelihood of certain diseases produced.