中国制造业的大规模空间聚集与变化——基于两次经济普查数据的实证研究

Spatial Agglomeration of the Manufacturing Industry in China

本文研究基于空间统计标准差椭圆方法，通过本文定义的空间聚集度从大规模聚集角度描述了2004～2008年中国制造业总体的空间聚集特征及变化，以及主要子行业的空间聚集差异及模式。结果表明，中国制造业空间聚集核心区在华北平原和长江中下游平原，空间聚集水平提高，呈现集中化聚集发展趋势；与制造业总体相比，多数子行业空间分布更加集中，更加偏向东部沿海地区，展现了多种聚集模式。国内、国际两个市场共同作用引发中国制造业的空间聚集趋势，未来制造业空间布局应该充分发挥聚集经济的主导作用，引导生产要素和技术向制造业核心区流动。

This study applies the method of Standard Deviation Ellipse to describe the spatial agglomeration of manufacturing industry in China from 2004 to 2008, and the patterns of spatial agglomeration of the main sectors. The results shows that the North China Plain and the middle-lower Yangtze Plain are the core agglomerated area of China＇s manufacturing industry, and the level of its spatial agglomeration is increasing during 2004 and 2008 with the trend of concentrated aggregation. Compared with the overall manufacturing, the distribution of most of the sectors is more concentrated and more towards the eastern coastal area, and it is showed as different patterns Of spatial agglomeration of the main sectors. The domestic and international markets work together on the spatial agglomeration of China＇s manufacturing industry, and in the future the leading role of agglomeration economy should be fully considered with guiding the production and technology to the core agglomeration area.