我国体育领域风险评估方法的比较分析

A Comparative Analysis of the Risk Assessment Methods in China Sports Field

采用帕累托法对近10年CSSCI收录期刊上发表的体育领域风险研究中使用的风险评估方法进行统计,并进行比较分析。结果表明:125篇文献中只有59篇有具体的风险评估方法,其中列表排序法和层次分析法分别占32.4%和22.5%,研究者在运用风险评估方法中注重定性定量方法的结合及新方法的引进。这方面存在的主要问题是,首先在风险评估方法认识上模糊;其次是风险评估方法单一、缺少统一的风险评估标准;第三是在风险评估方法运用中存在缺陷。最后,探讨了适合于我国体育领域风险评估的方法问题。

Based on the Pareto analysis, this paper analyzed the risk assessment methods of China sports field in the articles pub lished in CSSCI during the recent ten years. The results showed that only 59 articles had the specific risk assessment methods among the 125 articles, taxis method and analytic hierarchy process { AHP} accounted for 32. 4 % and 22. 5% respectively, and researches had paid attention to combination of the qualitative and quantitative methods and introduction of some new methods. The main prob- lems which exited in these articles were found that： （a） there was a fuzzy understanding in the risk assessment methods, （b） these risk assessment methods were single and they lacked in the uniform risk assessment standards, and （c） there were defects in use of the risk assessment methods. According to the findings of the study, risk assessment methods in sports field which were suited to China were discussed.