农户小型农田水利投资意愿及影响因素的差异——基于粮食主产区和非主产区的比较

Regional difference of farmers' investment willingness in small-scale irrigation and its influencing factors: Based on 471 households questionnaires at major and non-major grain producing areas in Hunan

基于湖南省粮食主产区和非主产区471份农户调查数据,选取4组14个自变量建立多元Logistic模型,对农户小型农田水利投资意愿及其影响因素进行区域比较分析,结果表明:大部分农户具有投资小型农田水利建设的意愿,但粮食主产区农户的意愿高于非主产区农户;无论是粮食主产区或非主产区,户主文化程度、身体状况、种粮收入、种粮补贴、自然灾害等7个因素对农户投资小型农田水利投资意愿均有显著正向影响,农户对现阶段农田水利设施整体状况评价因素有显著负向影响;家庭劳动力短缺状况对粮食主产区和非主产区农户投资意愿分别呈现较为显著的负向和正向影响,灌溉方式、大中型农田水利设施数量对粮食主产区农户投资意愿的影响不显著,对非主产区呈现显著正向影响,而预计未来农田水利基础建设投资规划的影响刚好相反。

Based on 471 households＇ survey data at major and non-major grain producing areas in Hunan, establishing Multiple Logistic model with 14 independent variables from 4 groups, this paper made a regional comparative analysis of farmers＇ investment willingness in small irrigation and water conservancy construction and its influencing factors. The results showed that： In general, most farmers were willing to invest small irrigation and water conservancy construction, but the farmers＇ willingness in major grain producing areas was greater than that of non-major areas. Farmers＇ investment willingness in both major and non-major grain producing areas was influenced positively by education level, health condition, grain income, grain subsidies, natural disasters, and so on. but farmers＇ evaluation of the current overall condition of farmland water conservancy facilities had negative impact on investment willingness. Family labor shortages had significant negative or positive effects at different areas. Irrigation methods, number of medium-sized water conservancy construction had no significantly effect on the farmers ＇investment willingness in major grain producing areas, but showed a significant positive impact on farmers at non-major areas. Conversely, the expected future investment plan had a significant positive impact on the farmers＇ investment willingness at major grain producing areas, while showed no significant effect on farmers at non-major grain producing areas.