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天津市产业结构与经济增长关系的实证研究

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摘要 产业结构调整与经济增长,是国家与社会发展中的永恒话题。本文运用格兰杰因果检验和回归—ARMA模型,对天津市1978—2012年的相关统计数据进行实证分析,得出天津市产业结构与经济增长间是互为因果,互促互进的关系,但产业结构对经济增长的影响具有一定的滞后性。建立了天津市地区生产总值与三次产业增加值之间的多元回归方程,并运用回归—ARMA模型对其进行了修正。
出处 《当代经济》 2014年第12期88-89,共2页 Contemporary Economics
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