收入预期不确定性对我国农村居民消费需求影响研究

Impact of Income Uncertainty on Rural Residents' Consumption

改革开放以来,随着我国农村居民收入水平的不断提高,消费水平也在一定程度上随之上升。但由于农村居民收入预期具有不确定性,使得农村居民出现谨慎性消费。因此,研究农村居民收入不确定性对于开拓农村消费市场,拉动农村居民消费具有重要意义。通过分析我国农村居民消费现状,研究农村居民收入预期不确定的变化机理,最后针对造成农村居民收入不确定性的因素,提出拉动其消费需求的建议。

Since the reform and opening in China ,with the continuous rise of rural residents＇income , their level of consumption is also rising .However ,due to the uncertainty of the expected income of rural res-idents ,they are cautious in consumption .Therefore ,the study of rural residents＇ income uncertainty is im-portant to develop rural consumer market and stimulate rural consumption .The paper analyzes the status quo of China＇s rural residents＇ consumption ,exploring the uncertainty of their income .Based on the factors w hich cause the uncertainty ,the paper provides some proposals to stimulate the consumption .