电子商务时代物流业能源消费研究

Research on energy consumption of logistics industry at E-commerce age

基于时间序列模型,研究了中国物流业能源消费问题。研究结果显示:物流业的能源消费增速较快,在承担大量货运业务的同时也消费了大量的能源;物流业能源消费、进出口贸易、物流业发展水平之间存在协整关系,后两者对物流业能源消费的影响较大且显著,从Granger因果关系来看,进出口贸易不是而物流业发展水平才是物流业能源消费的Granger原因;在电子商务时代,内需消费得到了拉动,但也略微拉大了物流业的能源消费。建议各地方政府合理规划交通运输设施建设,努力扩大外贸依存度,改善物流业的能源利用效率。

Time series model is used to study the energy consumption of China＇s logistics industry. The results showed： the logistics industry has a rapid growth of energy consumption, which also has spent a lot of energy at the same time taking a lot of freight business; energy consumption of the logistics industry, import and export trade and the development of the logistics industry have a co-integration relationship, the latter two have relatively large and significant impacts on the former, Granger causality shows that not import and export trade, but the development level of the logistics industry is the energy consumption＇s causes of the logistics industryl E-commerce promotes the domestic consumption, which also slightly increases energy consumption of the logistics industry. The suggestions are as follows： the local governments should reasonably plan transportation facilities and expand of the foreign trade dependence, and improve the energy efficiency.