基于灰色预测模型的应用型本科教育发展规模预测及建议——以江西省新建本科院校为例

Development Scale and Suggestions for Practical Tertiary Education Based on Grey Prediction Model:Taking Newly-founded Four-year Institutions in Jiangxi Province as Example

当前我国经济社会的深刻变革和高等教育自身的发展需要大力发展应用型本科教育,培养一批高素质技能型实用人才。在对当期我国高等教育发展的现状以及对应用型本科教育理论与实践简单分析的基础上,以江西省为例,利用灰色预测模型,对江西省应用型本科教育的规模作出大致的预测,用相对科学方法和数据说明未来江西省应用型本科教育规模的变化,给出相应的建议促进我国应用型本科教育的跨越式发展。

Currently, the profound change in our economic society and the development of higher education make it essential to develop the practical undergraduate education in order to cultivate practical talents with high quality and skills. On the basis of simple analysis on the current development of higher education as well as on the practical undergraduate education theory and practice, and taking Jiangxi province as an example, and using GM （1, 1） grey Prediction model, the present paper makes a rough prediction on the size of the applied undergraduate education in Jiangxi province. With scientific method and data, we showed the future of applied undergraduate education in Jiangxi province, and gave the corresponding suggestions for promoting a leapfrog development of applied undergraduate education in our country.