我国教育投入对实际经济增长的贡献实证分析

An Empirical Analysis on the Relatio nship between Educational Investme nt and the Real Economic Growth in China

本文运用最新发展的时间序列经济计量方法对1952-1998年的我国教育投入在实际经济增长中的作用进行实证分析,结果证明我国教育投入与实际经济增长之间互为格兰杰因果关系,并在长期内稳定地存在着协同互动的均衡关系,实证结果肯定了教育投入在我国实际经济增长中的贡献,为我国的教育投入政策提供理论分析和实证检验的依据。

Based on the normal theory of economi c growth,this paper analyzes the relationship between the educa-tional investment and the real economic growth in China by time series tec hnology.The Granger causality test show that the educational investment was an important input of real economic g rowth,whereas the economic growth h ad obvious effect on the educational in vestment.The Cointegration test sh ow that there was stable equilibrium between them.The policy implication of the r esult is that there is possibility to stimulate rapid economic growth by r aising educational investment in China.