印度对华认知变化与谨慎平衡政策——基于《不结盟2.0》报告的解读

India's Perception Change and Careful Balancing Strategy toward China:Based on the Important Report Titled ‘Nonalignment 2.0’

以2012年发表的《不结盟2.0》报告为重要标志,印度精英和政府积极酝酿对华认知变化和政策调整。2013年以来,印度"谨慎平衡"中国实力上升和影响力扩张的倾向日益明显。主要表现为,在应对边界危机、发展政治关系和推进"东向战略"的过程中,更加注重维持合作与竞争、秩序与实力的动态平衡。莫迪政府上台后,不会大幅调整目前推行的谨慎平衡政策,但将增加参与地区和国际事务的力度,外交上更为主动和活跃,这对于中国而言挑战与机遇并存。中国应提升印度在周边外交布局中的地位,在缩小彼此诉求差距的同时,加强多层次政策协调与合作。

Marked by an important report titled 'Nonalignment 2.0' published in 2012,Indian elites and government began to change their perceptions and policy toward China.Since 2013,in response to China's rapid rising,India has started to strike a careful balance between cooperation and competition,order and strength,in handling border crisis,political relations and‘look east strategy'.India's new government would not make a substantial adjustment to its China strategy,but may increase involvement in regional and international issues,and become more active diplomatically,which means both challenge and opportunity for China.Therefore,China should enhance India's position in its neighborhood diplomacy,narrow the gap between each other's demands,and strengthen policy coordination and cooperation at multiple levels.