广西入境旅游者消费变动的实证分析

Empirical Analysis of Consumer Changes in Guangxi Inbound Tourists

文章采用了主成分分析、多元回归分析、消费倾向率、消费结构指数以及消费变动度等研究方法对2000—2012年广西入境旅游者的消费变动情况进行研究。结果是:广西入境旅游业基本保持了稳定的增长态势,没有大幅波动。广西入境游客消费的增长速度滞后于入境旅游外汇收入的增长速度,属于滞后型消费,其消费结构还有待进一步优化。广西入境旅游业整体消费大多集中在基本性消费,消费水平偏低。因此,需要采用改善旅游消费环境,开发多元化的旅游产品,完善旅游消费体系等措施来促进广西入境旅游者的消费水平的提升。

The article uses more comprehensive analysis including principal component analysis, multiple regression analysis,consuming propensity rate,consumption structure and the degree of consumer change in the index for the consuming changes in inbound tourism in Guangxi from the year 2000 to 2010.The results indicate that Guangxi inbound tourism has remained a steady growth without greater fluctuation,but the growth rate of tourists of Guangxi inbound tourism consumption lags be-hind the growth rate of foreign exchange earnings ,which is considered as lagged consumption,so its structure needs to be further optimized.Besides,inbound tourism in Guangxi is almost concentrated in the basic consumption whose level is low.Therefore,Guangxi needs to improve tourism consumption environment,develop a wide range of tourism products,to remedy the tourism consumption facilities and other measures to promote the consumption level of Guangxi inbound tourists.