我国劳动争议案件发生率的特点与启示——基于1991—2011年面板数据的分析

Characteristics and Implications of Labor Dispute Cases Incidence in China:Based on Analysis of Panel Data from 1991 to 2011

分析全国1991—2011年及30个省份1999—2010年的面板数据后发现:随着经济发展水平的提高,全国及24个省份的劳动争议案件发生率呈现倒U形变动特征;经济发展水平较高的省份,劳动争议案件发生率较高;劳动争议案件发生率与经济增长速度不存在显著的相关关系。

Based on the analysis of national panel data from 1 991 to 201 1and the data of 30 provinces from 1 999 to 2010 respectively,it can be discovered that with the improvement of economic develop-ment,incidence of labor dispute cases of both the nation and 24 provinces has shown inverted U-shape variation characteristics;the higher level of economic development is in the areas,the higher labor dis-pute cases incidence will exist;there is no significant correlation between labor dispute cases incidence and economic growth rate.The foundations mentioned above enlighten us：The inverted U-shape change of labor dispute cases incidence is not the result of endogenous mechanism of economic devel-opment,but mainly of the labor relations adjustment system;Labor dispute cases will not naturally de-crease along with rapid economic growth;According to the influential factors such as dual changes in industry structure and labor structure,changes will take place in incidence of labor dispute cases,hot spots incentive and regional distribution,and the government should strengthen the availability of la-bor relations adjusting system and improve its implementation performance.