摘要
改革开放以来，我国居民消费率呈现总体偏低且持续下降的趋势，居民消费率的影响因素成为学界关注的热点问题。不同于发达国家通常的年龄—收入驼峰型模式，我国在转型期出现了收入随年龄的增高而持续递增的独特模式。本文构建数理模型论证得出我国独特的年龄—收入模式对于城镇居民消费率的影响方向取决于健康寿命与总寿命的比值，认为该模式可能降低了居民平均消费倾向和居民消费率。定量测算表明，1995-2011年间我国独特的年龄—收入模式对于城镇居民平均消费倾向和居民消费率的影响分别约为16％～17％和2％～3％。
The consumption rate in China has been low and has shown a sustained decline since 1978, the influential factors of residents＇ consumption rate have become a hot topic in academic circles. This study is aimed at exploring the intrinsic link between the declining consumption rate and the unique age-income structure which appears in the transition period in China. This paper uses mathematical models to discuss the effect of the unique age-income mode in China towards the urban resident average propensity to consume, and proves that the effect of positive or negative depends on the ratio of healthy life time over the whole life time, and this propensity may reduce Chinese household consumption rate. In addition, this paper uses the data from 1995 to 2011 to find that the negative impact of this unique age-income mode on urban resident average propensity to consume and household consumption rate is around 16% - 17% and 2 % -3 % respectively.
出处
《经济理论与经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第10期24-37,共14页
Economic Theory and Business Management
关键词
年龄—收入模式
居民消费率
居民平均消费倾向
age-income model
resident consumption rate
resident average propensity to consume
