论日本因素对中美构建新型大国关系的影响

Analysis on the Influence of Japan to Build a New Pattern of Great-Power Relations Between China and the United States

中美构建新型大国关系旨在破解历史上新兴大国与守成大国的"修昔底德困境",其中亚太地区成为构建新型关系的实验田。源于地缘政治和自身利益,日本因素成为中美构建新型大国关系的重要变量。日本外交策略尤其是安倍二任首相后的外交行为,对中美构建新型大国关系产生重要影响。本文以日本第三方因素作为分析中美构建新型大国关系的切入点,在梳理宏观视野中的日本因素影响比重后,重点探讨安倍上任后的"冲击波",提出新形势下日本实用主义外交的战略错位,归纳中美应对日本因素影响的策略。

To avoid Thucydides Dilemma between newly developing great power and dominate great power, it＇s a more efficient way to build a new pattern of Great-power relations between China and the United States, and the Asia-Pacific region thereby becomes a trial site for the establishment of such new pattern of relationship. Due to the geopolitical and Japan＇s own interests, Japan become an important variable to build the new pattern of China-US relationship. Japan＇s foreign strategies especially the Abe Shinzo＇s diplomatic behavior , have an important impact on the new pattern of China-US relationship. This paper first analyses Japanese role impact on Sino - US relations with more macro explanation, then discusses more especially on Abe Shinzo＇s diplomacy and puts forward the strategic dislocation of Japan pragmatic diplomacy under new situations and circumstances, and finally proposes some coping tactics in this regard.