经济增长的阶段性与城镇化转型研究——以20世纪60、70年代的日本为例

Relationship between the Stages of Economic Growth and the Transformation of Urbanization——an Example of Japan in the 1960s and 1970s

经济增长的阶段性不同,发展的动力机制也不同,在各异的动力机制驱动下的城镇化道路也不相同。中低收入阶段实行的投资主导的城镇化要转为消费主导下的城镇化,关键是要把生产性投资转变为消费性投资。通过考察日本跨越"中高收入陷阱"过程中财政投融资的投向变化对城镇化的推动,提出中国在三种经济转型的叠加期,必须围绕着"以人为本"的城镇化战略调整投资结构,加大对中小微企业的扶持力度,为进城农民工提供稳定的就业机会;矫正城市偏向的经济政策,加大对农业和农村的财政投入;加大对经济适用房、廉租房等房屋建设,尽快缓解进城农民工基本住房保障不足问题;加大对教育、医疗、卫生、社保等投入,实现城乡基本公共品的均等化。

Different stages of economic growth are often accompanied by different dynamic mechanism of development,so the roads of urbanization driven by various dynamic mechanism are different.In the stage of lower and middle-income,urbanization is dominated by investment.The key of turning the urbanization dominated by investment into consumption lies in the changes of productive investment to consumer investment.This paper studies in detail the change of investment directions in the process of Japan bridging the ＂upper and middle-income trap＂.and proposes some counter measures for China＇s urbanization strategy,