山东省城镇化、经济增长与城乡收入差距实证分析

Structural Characteristics and Development Trend of Consumption of Urban Residents In Shandong Province Empirical Research

城镇化发展促进了山东省经济增长,但城乡收入差距并没有得到根本扭转。利用VAR模型,对山东省1995-2012年的城镇化、经济增长和城乡收入差距三者之间的作用机制和相互影响做实证分析。结果表明:城镇化与城乡收入差距扩大之间存在相互影响,城镇化进程对经济增长影响较大,经济增长对城乡收入差距扩大产生了正的影响,并且是长期的,城乡收入差距的扩大对经济增长存在制约作用。

Although the development of urbanization promotes the economic growth of Shandong Province, the income gap between urban and rural areas is still there. It has not been fundamentally reversed. Using the VAR model empirical analysis, this paper analyzes the mechanism of action in Shandong province of urbanization, the economic growth and and the the Consumption of Urban Residents between1995 -2012. The results show that： the urbanization and urban - rural income gap exists between the expansion of mutual influence ; the process of urbaniza- tion has a great effect on economic growth;economic growth has had a positive effect on the expansion of the urban - rural income gap. This effect is long - term and the expansion of income gap between urban and rural areas has restricted function on economic growth.