中国农村居民消费结构的实证研究——以“十二五”、“十一五”时期为例

An Empirical Study on the Consumption Structure of Rural Residents in China-With the Eleventh Five-Year Plan Period and the Twelfth Five-Year Plan Period as Examples

本文利用中国统计年鉴数据,运用ELES的基本理论,采用Eviews 6.0软件从"十二五"和"十一五"两个时期对中国农村居民消费结构进行了比较研究,其中选取了2012年和2007年作为两个时期的代表。实证结果表明,随着外部环境的不确定性增加,中国农村居民的消费趋于保守;中国农村居民的消费已基本达到了小康水平,逐步向富裕型过渡。

This paper uses the data from China Statistical Yearbook, relies on the basic theory of ELES model and applies the software of Eviews 6.0 to research the consumption structure of rural residents in China with the Eleventh Five-Year Plan period and the Twelfth Five-Year Plan period as a comparison and with 2012 and 2007 as examples. The empirical results show that with the increased uncertainty in the external environment, the consumption of rural residents in China tends to be conservative; the consumption of rural residents in China has basically reached a well-off level, and gradually transited to the well-off.