“考虑排放许可交易的生产优化”的补充研究

Supplementary Study on “Optimal Production Policy with Emission Permits and Trading”

在我国排放交易(配额与交易,cap-and-trade)问题已经提到议事日程,深圳已经开始正式运行了国内第一个强制碳交易市场。但是作为"世界工厂"的我国,排放交易与生产优化方向结合的研究不多;文献[1]是国内在考虑排放许可交易的生产优化方向上发表的唯一一篇论文,文献[2-3]是其研究的拓展,其模型和分析比较独特,但其中有些研究似乎还可以深入。本文在其基础上做了些补充、改进,如:将最优收益的结果简化、得到了新的优化结果、进行了相关结果分析和比较、以及灵敏度定性分析等;新结果似乎更能体现原研究中最优净化水平、产量、收益间的关系,还能直观的体现给定配额在最优收益中的特点;在此基础上,进行了相应分析,本文的结果和分析也从侧面揭示了"政府配额"管理思路的隐患。本文的研究结果也可以较方便的推广到其多期生产优化的分析中。

In our country, the problem of emissions permit trading （cap-and-trade） is already put on the agenda and Shenzhen city already becomes the first official run mandatory carbon market in China. But named as the ＂world factory＂ China, there is little research on the direction of the emissions trading and production optimization combined. The literature 1, with its unique model and analysis, is the only paper published in the mainland in the direction of considering emissions permit trading condition in the production optimization research. Literature 2--3 are their research extending. Model and analysis proposed in literature 1 rather special, and there seems some of its work can still do further analysis. In the paper, based on results in literature, some supplementary improvements and the corresponding analysis are given, such as the optimal revenue results simplifying, a new result deriving, relevant results analyzing and compa ring, as well as sensitivity and qualitative analyzing and so on. The new result can not only reflect more about the relation between the optimal purification level, optimal quantity and optimal revenue, but also can more intuitively show the given emission cap/quota character at the optimal revenue expression in their o riginal study. Based on the results, more corresponding analysis is given, and the analysis results also reveal the bidden trouble in the ＂the Government Cap＂ given. Results in the paper can also be promoted into its multi-phase production optimization analysis.