2014年上半年中国农产品贸易发展特点及展望

China's Agricultural Products Trade Development in the First Half of 2014 and Its Prospect

2014年上半年中国农产品贸易总额保持增长,进口增长明显快于出口。进口方面,进口额继续保持增长,增速明显加快,国内外价差和国内供需缺口仍是大宗农产品进口持续高位的主要原因。出口方面,蔬菜和水产品出口均有增加,水果出口下降。未来中国农产品进口压力仍将继续加大,进口额增长可能保持两位数的增速;出口形势有望好转,但增速相对缓慢;在进口增速较快和基数较大的前提下,农产品贸易逆差将进一步扩大。

China＇s agricultural products trade value kept increasing in the first half of 2014, with import growth rate obviously higher than export growth rate. From the aspect of import, the value remained increasing and growth rate increased fast, while the main reasons that caused bulk agricultural products imports ran in high level were the price gap between international and domestic market, as well as the gap between domestic supply and demand. As for export, superior products exports such as vegetable and aquatic products increased, but fruits exports slowed down. Looking forward to the future, the import pressure of China＇s agricultural products will still increase countinuously, and the growth rate of import value will probably be in double figures. The situation of exports will be better, but the growth rate will be slower. Trade deficit of agricultural products will enlarge for great cardinal number and high growth rate of imports.