中国流动人口通婚圈研究——基于流动人口动态监测数据的实证分析

Research on the Intermarriage Circle of Floating Population in China:Empirical Analysis Based on the Population Dynamic Monitoring Data

改革开放以来,随着人口迁移流动的发展,人们的社会交际圈子迅速扩大,大规模的人口迁移流动对社会以及流动人口自身都产生了多方面的影响,其中对其婚恋行为的影响是一个值得研究的重要领域,但目前学界和政府对此关心仍然不够。文章使用2013年国家卫计委流动人口动态监测数据,运用二元Logistic回归分析方法对流动人口通婚圈研究发现:除流动人口的年龄、性别、户口和受教育程度等基本特征外,迁移流动行为也与通婚圈扩展具有显著的相关性。在流入地的居留时间、迁移流动地域范围和相对结婚时间都与跨省通婚有关,地理通婚圈扩展是社会良性发展的标志,但也不能忽视通婚圈扩展所带来的一些新问题和挑战。

Since the reform and opening up,with the development of migration, rapid expansion of social interaction circle,massive migration had a multifaceted impact on the migrants themselves,acts of love and marriage,where the area of impact is an important and worthy of study,but academics and government interest is still not enough. This paper using the 2013 national family planning population dynamic monitoring data, use binary Logistic regression analysis to study floating population intermarriage circle,found that apart from the population＇s age,sex,and level of education, and other basic features, migration behaviors also has a significant correlation with intermarriage circle. Residence time range, migration territorial and the relative marriage time are associated with inter-provincial intermarriage. Geography intermarriage circle extension is a sign of healthy development of society,but it could bring about a number of new problems and challenges during the process.