新型城镇化视角下少数民族地区就业创造力分析——以临夏回族自治州为例

An Analysis of Minority Employment creative in new urbanization perspective:as LinXia for example

新型城镇化应该强化产业支撑作用,产业是新型城镇化的持续动力。本文在宏观比较西部地区主要省份的经济发展与城镇化现状之后,分析了甘肃省内各市州,特别是临夏州城镇化发展中存在的产业支撑问题,利用就业弹性系数量化了经济发展对于就业人口的拉动作用。通过细分行业的就业创造能力系数,建立预测模型,并利用临夏州2016年、2020年的经济发展预期,估算了三种情景下产业发展对于新型城镇化战略的就业人口吸收能力。

New urbanization should strengthen the role of industry development; the industry is the continued support to new urbanization. This paper compares the status of the macro-economic development and urbanization in the western region of the main provinces,and also the cities and states are analyzed in Gansu province,especially the urbanization development in Linxia. Using the employment elasticity to the economic development,this work quanlity the employed population increased by the development of industry. After analyzing the factors affect the sub-sector job creation capacity,a predictive model used under three scenarios to estimates the job creation using the GDP expectations of Linxia 2016,2020.