俄乌天然气冲突背后的大国能源博弈

The great power energy game behind the natural gas conflict between Russia and Ukraine

在俄乌冲突中,处于弱势地位的乌克兰并未屈服。这场非对称性的冲突背后存在着美欧对乌克兰的多方支持。欧盟对俄罗斯存在能源上的较强依赖关系,这使欧盟无法成为乌克兰的坚定靠山。美国为了贯彻其重构欧洲能源格局、挤压俄罗斯地缘政治空间的目标,是乌克兰危机背后的真正推手。美俄在能源领域的全球竞争对亚太能源格局产生了直接的影响,并对中俄能源合作构成正面的促进作用。

While in a weak position, Ukraine has not yielded in its conflict with Russia. The conflict's asymmetry reflects the multilateral support for Ukraine by the US and Europe. The EU is heavily dependent on Russia for energy, and this makes it impossible for it to play the role of a firm backer of the Ukraine. In order to achieve the target of reconfiguring Europe's energy supply mix, and squeeze Russia's geopolitical space, America is theforce driving the Ukraine crisis. Global competition between the US and Russia in energy has a direct impact on the Asia Pacific energy supply mix, and plays a contributing role in Sino-Russian energy cooperation.