中美高技术产业贸易模式的测度研究

The Measurement on Sino-US Advanced Technology Industrial Trade Patterns

通过G-L指数、Brüelhart边际产业贸易指数、Thom&McDowell指数,对中美10类高技术产业贸易模式测度显示:中美信息通信技术、光电技术、生物技术、航空航天、武器和核技术贸易模式为产业间贸易或低水平产业内贸易;生命科学、电子科技、集成制造和高新材料贸易模式为高水平产业内贸易,而以信息通信技术贸易为核心,使2002-2012年中美高技术贸易模式和增量整体表现为产业间贸易,未根本转型为能使中国获得高附加收益的水平型产业内贸易。中国应对不同高技术产业贸易模式采取差异策略分别治理,使其向高层次产业内贸易升级,增加实际贸易利益。

By using the G-L index,Brüelhart marginal intra-industry trade index and Thom & McDowell index,we measured trade patterns of 10 categories of Sino-US advanced technology products.The result shows that in the 10 categories of advanced technology products,the trade pattern of Information & Communication Technology,Opto-Electronics Technology,Biotechnology,Aerospace and Nuclear technology are mainly intra-industry trade.However,the trade patterns of Life Science,Electronics,Flexible Manufacturing and Advanced Materials are horizontal intra-industry trade.Because the core of advanced technology of Sino-US trade is Information & Communication Technology trade,between 2002 and 2012,the Sino-US advanced technology product trade pattern and improved trade are inter-industry trade on the whole,not intraindustry trade.As a result,China should use different tactics based on the different industry trade patterns.Then the advanced technology industry of China could upgrade from inter-industry trade to intra-industry trade and the real revenue of China would be improved.