速射火炮立靶密集度序列建模

Modeling of Vertical Target Density Sequence of Rapid-fire Gun

为了准确地分析速射火炮的立靶密集度,将时间序列分析方法引入射击效力分析,用时间序列建模方法对速射火炮的立靶密集度试验数据建立了数学模型,证明了立靶密集度数据的相关性是不可忽略的。模型比较与模型验证的结果表明,相对于一阶模型,该文建立的模型预测误差更小,精度更高,为更好地分析武器系统射击效力奠定了基础。

In order to accurately analyze the vertical target density of rapid-fire gun, time series analysis method was introduced for firing efficiency analysis. The model was built for the vertical target density data recorded in firing test. This method indicates that the correlation of the testing data can not be ignored. The comparison and verification of models show that the proposed model has smaller prediction error and higher precision than the first order model, and the study provides a foundation for more accurate analysis on firing efficiency of weapon system.