不同管理体制下棉农机械化生产意愿差异分析

Variance analysis of farmers' mechanized production willingness under different management system

基于不同管理体制下农业生产组织模式不同的视角,在新疆维吾尔自治区及兵团进行大量实地调研,通过构建Logit二元选择模型,分析不同管理体制下棉农生产机械化意愿影响因素。数据分析显示,在自治区调查户中仅有11%的棉农生产收获全程机械化,而兵团则高达73%。实证结果表明,少数名族否、种植面积、出售价格、棉花单产等共6项指标在自治区模型中通过显著性检验;户主年龄、种植面积、亩均成本等共5项指标在兵团模型中通过显著性检验,文章依据此结果进行理论分析,提出促进棉花主产区生产机械化发展的对策建议。

Based on the different perspective of organization model of agricultural production under different management system, large field research was conducted in Xinjiang and XPCC. The factors influence farmers mechanized production willingness under different organization system were analyzed through building Logit binary choice model. Only 11% of the surveyed farmers in the sample of Xinjiang use mechanized production, but in XPCC the proportion was73%. There are 6 indexes in model of Xinjiang and 5 indexes in model of XPCC passed the significant test. Based on the results of theoretical analysis, some countermeasures about developing the mechanization of cotton production in both Xinjiang and XPCC were proposed.