绿洲农业生产条件现代化与农村经济发展灰色关联分析——以甘肃省张掖市为例

Grey correlation analysis between oasis agricultural production condition modernization and rural economic development in Zhangye

首先分析了甘肃省张掖绿洲农业发展的概况,之后运用了灰色关联分析方法分析了农业生产条件现代化的各个因子对张掖绿洲农村经济发展的影响程度。结果表明:农机化水平对张掖绿洲农业经济的发展影响最大,是首要因子;其次是水利化水平;而农膜使用量、化肥施用折纯量影响最小。根据灰色关联分析的结果并结合张掖绿洲农业的现状,提出了促进现代绿洲农业的若干建议。

First, the status of agricultural development in Zhangye, Gansu was analyzed, and then grey correlation analyzing method was used to analyze the impact of every agricultural modernization factor on the rural oasis economic development in Zhangye. The agricultural mechanization level is the biggest influencing factor,followed by water level, and the least is agricultural films and consumption of chemical fertilizers. Based on the results of grey correlation analysis and combining the current situation of Zhangye oasis agricultural development, some suggestions on the promotion of modern oasis agricultural development was proposed.