治理政策、乡土文化圈和男孩偏好:中国农村背景下的三方博弈

Policies on Controlling the Imbalance in Sex Ratio, Native Cultures, and Son Preference: The Interaction of These Three Aspects in the Contemporary Chinese Rural Society

文章基于2009年陕西省三县区的调查数据,采用多元线性回归方法对性别失衡治理政策、乡土文化圈和男孩偏好三者之间的关系进行了分析,发现现阶段人们的男孩偏好是性别失衡治理政策的弱化作用和乡土文化圈的强化作用相互博弈的结果,性别失衡治理政策通过宣传倡导政策的深入推行能够改善乡土文化圈,弱化男孩偏好,达到真正持久降低出生人口性别比的目标。

Using data from a survey of local residents in three different counties in Shaanxi province in 2009, this study adopts the multiple linear regression method so as to analyze the relationship of the policies to control the imbalance in sex ratio with native cultural circles and son preference. This analysis suggests that the Chinese son preference practice is the result of joint effect from the weakening of the policies on the imbalance in sex ratio and the reinforcement of native cultures. The promotion of policies on the imbalance in sex ratio will help advance native cultures, weaken son preference practice, and finally achieve the goal of reducing the sex ratio at birth.