基于统计模型对河南粮食产量的预测

Analysis of Henan Grain Yields based on Statistic Modelling

通过分析河南省1978～2013年粮食生产总量数据的特点，建立了时间序列的统计模型，结合统计软件进行数据模拟，对河南粮食产量做预测，实证分析结果表明，模型的预测精度和拟合度很高。

Based on the data of the grain production in Henan province through 1978-2013, time series model is established.By the Statistic software, trend prediction of Henan Grain Yields is identified.Empirical analysis in-dicates that the model prediction and fitting are good and accurate.