基于集成预测模型的贵州省农作物受灾面积预测

Prediction of Affected Area of Crops in Guizhou Province Based on Integrated Prediction Model

本文根据1998-2011年贵州省农作物受灾面积统计数据,利用集成预测模型,得到贵州省农作物受灾面积的预测模型,通过将农作物受灾面积的拟合值与真实值作比较,证实模型的拟合效果较好,进一步对贵州省2012年农作物受灾情况进行预测。

According to the data of affected areas collected in Guizhou Province from 1998 to 2011,and ased on integrated prediction model,the prediction model of affected area of croups in Guizhou Province was obtained.The results show that the proposed model is effective.