摘要
运用状态空间模型研究1988-2013年海南旅游业对经济发展的收入、就业、税收、外汇带动效应,结果表明外汇效应最高,就业效应最低.利用灰色关联模型对2014年海南旅游收入和旅游人数进行预测,并提出促进海南旅游业发展的对策与建议.
The State Space Model was used to study the income,employment,tax,and foreign exchange driving effect from 1988 to 2013 of Hainan tourism industry on economic development. The results show that the maximum effect is foreign exchange,and the minimum is employment. The Grey Correlation Model was used to predict tourism income and the number of tourists of Hainan in 2014,and propose the suggestions to improve the development of tourism in Hainan.
出处
《琼州学院学报》
2014年第5期112-116,共5页
Journal of Qiongzhou University
基金
海南省教育厅基金项目(hjkj2012-16)
