中国二氧化碳排放与外商直接投资的计量经济研究——以东中西部地区为研究视角

An econometric study of relationship between carbon dioxide emissions of China and foreign direct investment——research angle:difference regions in China

为了分析我国CO2排放强度与外商直接投资额之间的关系,以东中西部地区1997—2011年数据为样本进行了实证分析。采用碳排放系数法测算CO2排放总量,采用协整检验、误差修正模型和格兰杰因果关系检验分析东中西部地区外商直接投资与CO2排放强度之间的关系,结果表明:外商直接投资额的增加并不会引起CO2排放强度的增加,技术进步、经济增长、产业结构变化等原因使得三个地区均实现了低碳发展模式。

In order to analyze the relationship between CO2 emission intensity and foreign direct investment （FDI） of China, an empirical study is carried out with data of east, west and central regions of China from 1997-2011 in this paper. Total CO2 emissions of different regions are calculated by means of carbon emissions coefficient, the relationship between FDI and CO2 emissions intensity of different regions are analyzed by means of co-integration test, error correction model and granger causality test. The results indicate that the growth of FDI will have no effect on CO2 emissions intensity, and a low carbon development pattern is caused by technology progress, economic growth, industry structure change etc.