摘要
选取2008年全球金融危机后49组月度数据,采用协整与误差修正模型实证估计了汇率、出口退税以及贸易成本对我国出口的影响。研究表明,在短期,出口退税率上调与贸易成本下降对出口的综合激励效应会减弱人民币升值对出口的抑制效应;在长期,人民币升值通过有效调整出口商品结构也促进了出口增长。
This paper selects 49 sets of monthly data after the 2008 global financial crisis, and uses co - inte- gration and error correction model estimates the impact of exchange rates, export duty rebates and trade costs on China＇ s exports, and finds that in the short term the incentive effects to exports caused by the increase in exports duty rebates rate and the decline in trade costs will together weaken the inhibitory effects to exports caused by the appreciation of RMB. In the long term the appreciation of RMB as well contributes to increase of exports by impro- ving the export commodity structure.
出处
《经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第11期102-105,117,共5页
On Economic Problems
关键词
出口增长
人民币升值
出口退税
贸易成本
increase of exports
appreciation of RMB
export duty rebates
trade costs
