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基于状态相关模态切换混合估计的航迹预测 被引量：13

Aircraft trajectory prediction based on SDTHE algorithm
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摘要 针对航空器飞行轨迹预测的随机线性混杂系统估计问题,提出一种状态相关模态切换的混合估计算法(SDTHE).该算法不仅解决了标准交互式多模型(IMM)算法似然函数为零均值高斯函数假设的缺陷,而且基于实时状态更新模态转移矩阵,使得飞行模态估计更为准确,从而提高飞行轨迹预测的精度.与标准交互式多模型算法相比,仿真结果表明了所提出算法的有效性和优越性. In order to solve the stochastic hybrid system estimation problem in aircraft trajectory pre- diction, the state-dependent mode transition hybrid estimation （SDTHE） algorithm is proposed, in which the assumption of likelihood function being a zero mean Gaussian function is discarded. Furthermore, the mode transition matrix is updated based on real time continuous state in the proposed algorithm, through which the accuracy of mode estimation is improved and the precision of trajectory prediction is increased. Simulation results indicate the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed algorithm in comparison with the standard IMM algorithm
作者 张军峰 隋东 汤新民
机构地区 南京航空航天大学民航学院
出处 《系统工程理论与实践》 EI CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2014年第11期2955-2964,共10页 Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
基金 国家自然科学基金(61174180 71401072) 江苏省自然科学基金(BK20130814) 波音-中国商飞联合资助课题(2012TR-012)
关键词 航迹预测 交互式多模型 混合系统 模态估计 trajectory prediction interacting multiple model hybrid system mode estimation
分类号 V355 [航空宇航科学与技术—人机与环境工程]
  • 相关文献

参考文献19

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二级参考文献15

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共引文献12

同被引文献86

  • 1彭瑛,胡明华,张颖.动态航迹推测方法[J].交通运输工程学报,2005,5(1):61-65. 被引量：30
  • 2黄文强.支持向量机在航空运输量预测中的应用[J].计算机工程,2005,31(B07):253-255. 被引量：4
  • 3洪永淼.计量经济学的地位、作用和局限[J].经济研究,2007,42(5):139-153. 被引量：131
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  • 6ZUNIGA C A, PIERA M A, RUIZ S. A CDCR causal model based on path shortening/path stretc- hing techniques [J]. Transportation Research: Part C. 2013,33:238-256.
  • 7FUKUDA Y, SHIRAKAWA M, SENOGUCHI A. Development of trajectory prediction model[C]. EN- RI International Workshop on ATM/CNS (EI- WAC), Tokyo, Japan, 2010.
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引证文献13

二级引证文献69

系统工程理论与实践
2014年 第11期

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