中国周边的新形势与思考

Thought on China's New Peripheral Situation

中国与邻国的关系一直是个难题。荣则共荣,损则共损,是中国与邻国之间利益和命运共同体的内涵。新中国与周边邻国的关系一直在调整:从求生存、求共处,到强调友好相处、和平发展,再到积极主动推进利益和命运共同体建设。当前总的形势是好的,甚至是新中国成立以来国家安全威胁最小、中国掌控周边大局能力最强的时期。以大视野来分析和认识当前出现的新矛盾,可以看到中国正处于新的百年大变局进程中。中国与周边,既要从"我的周边"来认识,又要从"周边的我"来考量,"我的周边"引导看全局,"周边的我"促使用好自己的力量。未来的周边地区是多样性与相融性并存,关系的多重性与利益的共享性并存,是多角色参与,多种利益博弈。关键是中国要增强协调能力和掌控能力,以达到聚合化异,实现中国周边地区的稳定与和平。

It has always been a challenge for China to handle its relations with its neighbors.China and its neighbors share common interests and their fates are closely interrelated.Since 1949,China has been adjusting its relationship with its neighbors.First,it sought a policy of co-existence,then stressed friendly relations and peaceful development,before it started to actively push the build-up of an interest-based union.The situation currently remains favourable for China.It could be the best time for China as it faces the least security threat and is most capable of properly managing the regional situation.China needs to balance its relationship with its neighbors.In the future,the regional situation would feature diversity and integration,with complicated relationships interacting with shared interests.It will involve multiple forces and interests.It is most important for China to improve its coordination and control abilities to promote consensus and bridge differences,ultimately realizing regional peace and stability.