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中国最低工资对就业的影响 被引量:23

THE IMPACT OF MINIMUM WAGE ON EMPLOYMENT IN CHINA
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摘要 最低工资制度是政府通过法律手段保障低工资工人的收入、维护劳动者最基本的权益而对劳动力市场进行人为干预的一种政策选择,它对就业的影响引起了人们的广泛争议。本文利用我国2000—2010年30个省市自治区的面板数据,以最低工资制度最为直接的影响人群——其他人员的就业作为研究对象,采用可行的广义最小二乘(FGLS)方法考察了该制度对我国就业的影响。实证研究的结果表明,我国的最低工资水平相对于社会平均工资每提高10%,其他人员的就业在社会总就业中的比重下降约为2.3%,敏感性分析和动态回归把弹性范围扩大到-0.09^-0.29,这与国际上早期的时间序列研究的结论基本一致,这表明我国的最低工资制度对我国其他人员的就业产生了负面影响。 Minimum wage system is a government policy choice which intends to guarantee low wage workers' income, protect the lawful rights and interests of workers. Its impact on employment has attrac- ted extensive controversy. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces from 2000 to 2010, selecting other people's employment as research object, this paper studied the impact of minimum wage system on employment in China with FGLS. This paper found that a 10% increase in the minimum wage was associated with roughly a 2. 3% decrease in other people's employment. The sensitivity analysis and dynamic regression extended the range of elasticity in --0.09~--0.29, which suggested that the minimum wage system in China had a negative impact on employment.
出处 《经济理论与经济管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2014年第11期16-31,共16页 Economic Theory and Business Management
基金 教育部人文社科基金项目(11YJC790175) 浙江省哲学社会科学重点研究基地劳动保障与社会政策研究中心重点课题(11JDLB02Z) 国家自然科学基金项目(71273242)
关键词 最低工资 就业 面板数据 可行的广义最小二乘估计 minimum wage employment panel data FGLS
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  • 1王美艳.城市劳动力市场上的就业机会与工资差异——外来劳动力就业与报酬研究[J].中国社会科学,2005(5):36-46. 被引量:424
  • 2G. Stigler, "The Economics of Minimum Wage Legislation, " The American Economic Review, vol. 36, no. 3, 1946, pp. 358-365.
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  • 10O. Ashenfelter and R. Smith, "Compliance with the Minimum Wage Law," The Journal of Political Economy, vol. 87, no. 2, 1979, pp. 333-350.

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