福建沿海年平均海平面年际、年代际变化特征及预测

Variability of interannual and decadal sea level and its prediction along Fujian coastal area

利用福建沿海4个验潮站实测潮位资料,在分析实测资料变化趋势的基础上,采用谱分析的方法分析年平均海平面的变化趋势,得到了4个站年平均海平面变化模型,并对未来50年福建沿海的海平面上升趋势进行预测。

In this study,sea level records from 4 tidal gauges along Fujian province are used to analyze the regional sea level variability.The mean sea level rising trend are obtained and sea level change model for each tidal station is constructed by the spectral method.Finanlly,the sea level rising rate along Fujian coastal oceans in the next 50 years is predicted.