河北省入境旅游规模差异及影响因素分析

ANALYSIS OF DISPARITY OF INBOUND TOURISM RANK AND SCALE AND ITS INFLUENCING FACTORS FOR CITIES IN HEBEI PROVINCE

以河北省2008—2013年入境旅游数据为基础,运用标准差、变异系数、基尼系数和首位度等指标测度河北省入境旅游规模差异,运用位序—规模法则洛特卡一般模式分析河北省入境旅游位序规模分布规律,运用相关系数法、多元线性回归法探索影响河北省入境旅游区域差异的因素。发现:1河北省入境旅游规模绝对差异先增大后减小,而相对差异在波动中下降,规模差异呈缩小趋势。2基尼系数、首位度表明河北省入境旅游呈集中分布,位序—规模分析表明河北省入境旅游规模呈首位型分布,但洛特卡模式集中指数q从2008年1.73到2013年1.53,表明入境旅游差距在逐渐缩小。3以入境旅游规模和地域邻近特征为基础可以将河北省入境旅游划分为冀东北、冀西北和冀东南三大旅游区。4影响河北省入境旅游区域差异的主要因素是旅游资源丰度和区位条件。

Under the background of downward pressure of the inbound tourism and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei integration process to speed up, this research focusing on inbound tourism in Hebei province helps to strengthen the regional inbound tourism economic development of our country and to promote the Beijing-TianjinHebei comprehensive strategic synergy. The paper measures the disparity of scale of inbound tourism in Hebei province on the basis of inbound tourism data in Hebei province in from 2008 to 2013 by using Standard Deviation, Coefficient of Variation, Gini coefficient and First Degree Index and using the rank-scale rule to analyze the rank-scale distribution of inbound tourism in Hebei province and using the method of correlation coefficient, the multivariate linear regression method to explore the factors influencing the regional differences of inbound tourism in Hebei province. The study found that,（1） an absolute different scale of inbound tourism in Hebei province rises from 190580.8 in 2008 to 365432.5 in 2012 to 338631.6 in 2013.（2）Gini coefficient and First Degrees show that inbound tourism in Hebei province are concentrated. Rank-scale theory suggests that inbound tourism scale is the first type distribution in Hebei province, but concentration index q from 1.726 in 2008 to 1.53 in 2013, suggesting a more narrowing gap between cities in Hebei province.（3）Hebei province can be divided into Ji-northeast, Ji-northwest and Ji-southeast three big tourist areas on the basis of the scale and proximity of region.（4） The main factors influencing the regional difference of inbound tourism in Hebei province is the abundance of tourism resources and geographical conditions.