复杂性理论与公共政策研究

Complexity Theory and Public Policy Research

传统公共政策研究在实证主义范式的指导下,倾向于在线性因果链和秩序观的基础上实现自上而下的社会控制。因此,在政策实施过程中忽略了政策主体的多重相关性和互动性,政策实施环境的不可控性以及政策运行过程的路径依赖性。复杂性理论作为自然科学中一种新的研究范式,集中于现象的不可还原性、非线性、自组织演化以及对初始条件的敏感依赖性等特征,在很多方面与公共政策领域存在着一定的内在关联。因此,复杂性理论有望为公共政策研究带来一种全新的视角和发展路径。

Under the guidance of positivism, traditional public policy research tends to achieve the top - down social control on the bases of linear causal chain and order. As a result, in the process of policy implementation it ignores the multiple correlation and interaction of multiple subjects, the uncontrollability of policy environment and the path dependence of operation process. As a new research paradigm versibility, nonlinearity and self - organization evolution, and in natural science, complexity theory focuses on irre- the sensitive dependence on initial conditions, which are all the characteristics of complex phenomenon. So there exists a certain inner link between public policy re- search and complexity theory, and the latter will provide a new perspective and development path for the former.