摘要
针对现代军事冲突的不确定性和模糊性,用直觉模糊数来表示军事冲突中的局中人对另一局中人在结局空间上的偏好认知,建立了军事冲突的模糊超对策模型,并对实际军事冲突中的各级指挥员对对方策略集和结局偏好的群体认知,应用D-S证据理论进行了有效融合。最后,通过实例分析说明了文中所提出方法的有效性和合理性。
According to the uncertainty and fuzziness of modern military conflict ,it is supposed that each player in military conflict perceives the opponent player’outcome preferences over outcome space using the intuitionist fuzzy numbers and the military conflict situation is modeled as a fuzzy hypergame model. Then the D-S evidence theory is proposed to integrate the perceived information of each commander in real military conflict. Finally,the analysis of example shows the effectiveness and rationality of the proposed method.
出处
《火力与指挥控制》
CSCD
北大核心
2014年第10期49-52,共4页
Fire Control & Command Control
基金
国家自然科学基金(71171198)
全军军事学研究生重点课题资助项目(2010JY0682-020)
关键词
证据理论
军事冲突
超对策
evidence theory
military conflict
hypergame
