中国的外交创新是否需要外交革命

Will China's Diplomatic Innovations Lead to a Diplomatic Revolution?

近两年来,中国外交新政迭出,是改革开放以来外交创新最密集和最有力度的时期。作者首先梳理了五大方面的外交创新,即定位创新、战略创新、制度创新、手段创新和方式创新,显示中国正在通过大有作为的外交实践探索具有中国特色的大国外交道路。但这些创新尚不足以构成一场外交革命。中国外交的根本原则和方式,如新型大国的基本定位、发展外交的核心地位、结伴而不结盟、尊重主权平等、严格限制武力的运用等,还没有发生质的变化。作者也从未来国际环境的可能变化、中国在国际力量格局中的地位演进以及中国内部外交共识的发展出发,探讨了外交革命在中国发生的未来可能性,认为即使到2030年,除非出现可能性不高的国际环境的根本恶化,改革开放后形成的基本外交指导原则和实践模式具有长期的正当性,不需要进行根本的变革:中国需要外交创新,但不要急于外交革命,而应该以持续的外交创新来发挥新型大国的作用。

During the past two years,the new Chinese leadership has adopted a series of new measures in its diplomacy.It is a period with most intensive and forceful diplomatic innovations since the beginning of the reform and opening-up.This article identifies five such innovations;innovations in self-identity,in strategic thinking,in institution-building,in use of instruments,and in choice of methods.With these diplomatic innovations,China is exploring a great power diplomacy with distinctive Chinese characteristics.At the same time,these innovations do not represent a diplomatic revolution.The basic diplomatic principles and ways of conduct in Chinese diplomacy have not changed.China still wants to be a new type of great power;development is still a central diplomatic agenda;China will continue its non-alliance partnership diplomacy;China will uphold the sovereignty equality principle and restrict the use of force in foreign policy.Even by the year of 2030,unless there is an unlikely fundamental deterioration of the external environment,China shall have no reasons to change these basic principles and ways of conducting its diplomacy.China needs more diplomatic innovations,but should not rush to a diplomatic revolution.